Auburn vs South Carolina 12/4/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Auburn winning 53% of simulations, and South Carolina 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Auburn commits fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. South Carolina wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Cameron Newton is averaging 89 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Stephen Garcia is averaging 253 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SC +6 --- Over/Under line is 60

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